Thursday, September 29, 2011

Week 5 Picks VS the LINE

Last week was a great week for the players- the bookmakers may have been knocked down but they just popped up and are ready to brawl.  (they don’t like missing)

Although, I provided an exclusive pick on the Nuno and Neagli show 1560 The Game 10-Noon, I don’t know if I can include it in my PlayMakers this week.  I make my plays based on the best picks of the week.  I pride myself on not forcing action for action sakes because a $5 loss is the same as a $500 loss to me.  But since I called Arkansas on the radio I have to stay with it- Book Arkansas!! 

If you have to play this week stay away from the parlays and look for some key o/u games like:  Kent St and Ohio (OVER), Toledo and Temple (UNDER).  Keep in mind weather conditions change and affect these, so lay off until game day.

Although I lay action on all my PlayMakers (Yes, I have a dog in that fight, I have skin on the line) I do not play all the following, I just pick them for your entertainment.

My pick is in BOLD

Toledo +8 @ Temple
Buffalo @ Tennessee -28
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -8
Cincinnati -14 @ Miami Ohio
Kent St +15 @ Ohio (look at the game result history here)
Western Michigan +3 @ Connecticut
N Illinois @ Central Michigan +9
Ball St +38 @ Oklahoma

Miss St @ Georgia -7 (although UGA always plays down, they have something to prove here)
Texas AM @ Arkansas +3 (home dog???)
Buffalo @ Tennessee -28
Auburn +10 @ S. Carolina (QB is a mess)
Alabama -4 @ Florida (smell a o/u??)
Ole Miss @ Fresno St. -3.5

Again, it’s a tough one, many games off the board.  I  only have 3 PlayMakers this week… 

Want to know what my PlayMakers are?  Read below and send me my damn $10.

Sunday, September 25, 2011

Week 4 Pick Results

Seriously, I have two followers on this blog and everyone else is giving away money.  If I did not have technical issues yesterday morning I would have retired, because the only game I lost was Toledo and that was by one point.  Every parlay I made came back and did not get posted...   ... I forgot to hit 'confirm bet' button. DAMN!!!

Unfortunately, in the afternoon, I went off my sheet and got desperate to get the money that I should have won back, but I lost those two games.  Luckily I went hard on LSU to cover -6 and the LSU Over +31 that got me back in the black.

So here are the numbers:


This Week Total:  11 wins and 2 loses 85% winners


This Weeks PLAYMAKERS:  4 wins and 1 loss 80%  I took:  Toledo (loss) and won Michigan St, Temple, Florida and LSU.  Note:  LSU was a late add after the blog was posted.




For the Season, I have picked 68% correct (38 wins and 18 losses) out of all MAC and SEC games and my PLAYMAKERS have been 71% correct (15 wins and 6 losses)

Friday, September 23, 2011

Week 4 Picks VS the LINE

There are 14 games with spreads this week but only 4 PLAYMAKERS so watch your butt...

Again, team and line in bold are my picks.  If you dont understand that then you might want to keep your money in your wallet.

Toledo +2 @ Syracuse  (ACC LMFAO, you cant win in the Big East)
E Michigan +29 @ Penn State
C Michigan @ Michigan State -22
Temple +9 @ Maryland
Bowling Green +4 @ Miami Ohio
Army @ Ball St +4
W Michigan +14 @ Illinois

Georgia -10 @ Ole Miss
Arkansas +11 @ Alabama
Florida -20 @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt @ S. Carolina -15
La Tech +20 @ Miss St
LSU -6 @ W VA

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Week 3 Pick Line Results

As stated prior to my picks, this week was not looking good for players.  The bookmakers did an excellent job with many games within a point or two of actual.  If I could have spread out just 6 points I would have been 65% accurate this week, but as Vegas Vic always says... IF, BUT, Whaaaaaaaaaa

OK this week I was 47% on all SEC and MAC games, very disappointing.  SEC teams did not cover against the non-conference teams which shows that they definitely play down out of conference.

For my Play Makers...   lousy 50%, why?  Although Auburn is better than expected Clemson is the real deal.  South Carolina played like Stephen Garcia after a frat party.   LSU kept their foot on the gas, looking to be an SEC West Contender and Wyoming did as expected and beat Bowling Green straight up.   Just FYI, the Cowboys look like a great underdog pick against the spread this year-keep an eye on them.

I played harder on the parlays this week by mixing up only my PLAYMAKERS, that saved me.

SEASON STATS:


Against All Games W a Posted Spread:  65%


Agaist the PLAYMAKERS:  69%

Monday, September 12, 2011

Week 3 Picks VS the line

My pick to cover in BOLD.  Tough picks this week as I only have 4 Playmakers---  Good Luck.
My file download was corrupted earlier in the week, I hope I have it fixed now.

Buffalo VS Ball State -5
Cincy -33 @ Akron (avoid this game)
Wisconsin @ N. Illinois +18
Miami Ohio +5 @ Minnesota
Tennessee @ Florida -9.5 (change from original)
Navy @ S. Carolina -15
Wyoming +9.5 @ Bowling Green
E Michigan @ Michigan -29
Penn St -7 @ Temple
C Michigan @ W Michigan -8
Mississippi -3 @ Vandy
Louisville +6 @ KU
LSU -4 Miss St
Toledo @ Boise -21
Marshall @ Ohio -5
Auburn +3 @ Clemson (too good to be true?)
Kent State +18 @ Kansas State
N Texas +47 @ Alabama
Troy @ Arkansas -23

Week 2 Line Results

This week I picked 8 out of 10 games right.  I count Georgia right because in the gambling game, a tie is NOT losing.  Out of my special 'Play Makers', which none of you subscribe I went 5/6, thats right... documented 5 wins and 1 loss.  Sucka!!!

This weeks 'Play Makers':  Kentucky, Toledo (damn right), Temple, Tennesse, Arkansas  the only loser was Mississippi State, I guess I bought into the hype...

For the season

Pick'em (I have to pick these, if there is a spread posted I pick'em) :  18 wins and 6 loses  75%

The Play Maker:  9 wins and 3 loss 75%

Its all right here, documented!!!!  Tony the Hatchet (chop chop) can not give you that.

Friday, September 9, 2011

Week 2 Sept 10 NCAA FOOTBALL Picks for Southeastern Conference and Mid-American Conference

Last week was pretty good and we all made some $$, lets see if this week can double our bank roll.  Again, I pick all games in the SEC and MAC that have a spread listed.  To see the ‘Big Play’, my best bets you have to give me that $10. 

I am picking the team in bold

C. Michigan @ Kentucky -10.5 (picking UK)
Toledo + 18.5 @ OSU (pick Toledo, get it?)
Miss St -6 @ Auburn
Cincy @ Tenn -4.5
Alabama -10.5 @ Penn State (the under is dropping fast)
South Carolina @ Georgia +3
Temple -15 @ Akron
Northern Ill -5 @ Kansas
Arkansas -36 @ New Mexico
UConn @ Vandy -2

There are some real opportunities this week.

Monday, September 5, 2011

NCAA Line Results plus the Play Maker

Current posted win % for all games:  71%

Picked 14- games won 10 lost 4

Current Play Maker win %:  67%

Picked 6- games won 4, lost 2
Won:  Miss St, Ohio St, Buffalo and E. Carolina
Lost:  Kent and Auburn