Oct 30- Week 9 results

Interesting week, as I won a lot of games on Saturday then turned around and dumped most of it back in on Saturday night.  In the AM games I doubled my investment for the day and still had half my bets pending.  I ended, up for the afternoon then pressed it on Wisconsin- my bad...   Forgot to follow my own rule AGAIN, play the games you like the most and leave the rest of them to the chumps!!!

I thought I was going to continue my 3 week streak of picking an upset.  I got close, but close aint good enough.  If you recall I gave you the following upsets, not only to cover but win:  Vanderbilt (lost to a 90 yard fumble 6), Ole Miss +13 who gave Auburn a game for the first half and then Akron +8 in what I thought was really a coin flip game, but the Zips lost by 1.  So my streak of giving you a cash play upset is over, until next week.

I had 5 Playmakers that were discussed on the David Nuno and Robert Neagli show, plus the game from Thursday- Houston.  This week I won 4 (Miss St, Akron, Vandy, Ok St) and lost 2 (Ole Miss and Kansas St)  As noted on the show I thought Kansas St could be a set up game and it did look too good to be true.  Unfortunately Stoops and Co made that a reality.  My season Playmaker win percentage is 77%.

For all the Conference games, I slipped some, picking only 8 correct and missing 4.  My season winning percentage in these games is 70% winning 85 and losing 36.

As stated previously, when playing these games watch the weather and injuries as they ARE relevant.  It is often necessarily to lay off or jump on a game based on weather changes.  Two examples from this weekend were my plays on Houston and switching from Florida to Georgia based on the status of Brantley.  Brantley had a bad ankle and was expected NOT to play up to an hour before the game, but at game time he was in.  Luckily for me I changed my play.

NOTE TO READERS:  Just because I make notes next to my picks does not make them a Playmaker.  I usually note things I find of interest.  Occasionally I do note a over/under note, because I intend to play that and it is a 'pick'.

Again, if you want my Playmakers for the week, you can either email me for directions at THEPLAYWITHVEGASVIC@gmail.com  The cost is $10 per week.  I will also give you my opinion on other games if you email me, but understand that customers come first.

Week 9 Picks VS the line Oct 26

This week looks to have a lot more action than last, not only in the fact that there are numerous, quality games, but there are opportunities to win some money.

Playmakers for the week...   ...I have three listed below (past entries on how to get them) and two out of my usual conference picks that I will share on the Nuno and Neagli show tomorrow, sometime between 10 and Noon on 1560 THE GAME

My picks in BOLD:

C Michigan @ Akron +8  both defenses are in trouble and Central is only slightly favored
Bowling Green  -4.5 @ Kent State look at the under
Ball State +11.5 @ Western Michigan
Buffalo +7 @ Miami Ohio

Arkansas @ Vandy +10.5 
Georgia @ Florida +3 (Im not sold here) look at the under
Miss St -10 @ Kentucky
Ole Miss +13 @ Auburn
South Carolina @ Tennessee +4


If you want a special game breakdown just email me at THEPLAYWITHVEGASVIC@GMAIL.COM


remember, nothing in life is guaranteed except me being bad ass and death

Oct 22 Results week 8

Not bad but below average week for  @theVEGASVIC (follow me on twitter)  overall I was 9-5 on my blog picks and 7-3 on additional live radio picks.  As stated prior, this was going to be a good week for the bookmakers because they set spreads that were very close to the end results.  


Personally I lost 3 picks by a point or two and won two by the same.  I hate the guy that always says, "if... but..." but them is the breaks.  Sometimes the man knows what he is doing but other times he misses completely.  Look at the OU/ Tech game.  I was big on Tech and even increased my be after the long delay because I knew that only Tech was really motivated- OU was a 28 point fav they thought they would coast in for a win then BOOOM!!! Too late to come back


I also claimed Wisconsin to be a fraud and for the third week in a row picked a big upset game, not just to cover but win.  Now Wisconsin is not a fraud, as they (and OU) showed that they could come back and did not totally lose their composure, but they are not the teams many thought they were.  OU does not have a great QB, Wisconsin does not have an unstoppable offense.  Too bad the Spartans had that slip up against Notre Dame, they could be #3 right now.


One change to my picks.  At the time I published my blog the LSU/AU game was off the board, later reinstated at LSU -21.  I took LSU as noted on the David Nuno and Robert Naegli Show on 1560thegame, so I have added that into my win%.

This week I won 67% of my picks and ZERO of my Playmakers:  the only Playmaker I had this week was Temple who squeaked out a win at Buffalo. If there was an LSU line I would have added them in too but there was not.  I also would have added Tech and Michigan State, but this blog is about the SEC and MAC so I dont count those.


If you want me to handicap a specific game, please post it in the comments and Ill tell you what I think.

For the Season:

Picking all games in the SEC and MAC:  71% winning 77 and losing only 32 of all posted games.

Picking only my PlayMakers:  I am winning 76% of the time 26-7.  This weeks picks was only Temple, as noted above.  


Hopefully next week will have some better action that we can take better advantage.  Im just hoping that all the games do not get cancelled because everyone is too amped up about LSU/Bama.  It should be a good game, but damn people, its not like the football season is make or break on this one game. 

Week 8 Picks VS the Line

I would rather listen to Mike and Mike for a week than have to put my name on the picks this week.  Although there will be some good games, the house did a great job handicapping.  From what I saw, if you like an underdog get in early, if you like a favorite the wait it out and see if the line will decrease (generally).

Thanks to all those that view, as I just saw that I can track traffic on this site and Im getting about 50 hits a day- I appreciate it, I hope your winning.

This week picks in bold.

W Michigan -13 @ E Michigan

C Michigan @ Ball St -2

Temple -14 @ Bowling Green

Ohio -14 @ Akron

Miami Ohio @ Toledo -17 (the numbers disagree with me but I think Toledo rolls)

Strange the above has no dogs...

Army @ Vanderbilt -10

Tennessee @ Alabama -30 (Tennesse is getting tired and Saban wants to SCREAM ROLL TIDE)

Arkansas -17 @ Ole Miss

LSU/AU off the board at this time

Still no dogs...  

I have only one Playmaker this week so save your money and dont bother paying me for the picks.

With the lack of action in the SEC, I offer you the following:

Take Texas Tech +29 at OU

Take Missouri +8 over Ok St

I like Mich St +8 over Wisconsin

I dont like Uof H -23 over Marshall but Marshall sucks pretty bad and Ill take my chances with the cougs

Stanford +21 beats Washington 44-24

Texas AM -21 over Iowa St 51-20

Just my opinion...  ...I probably wont play much, maybe play a few small parlays with the data above.

Week 7 Oct 15 College Pick Results

Another great week for @theVEGASVIC (follow me on twitter)  overall I was 8-1 on my blog picks and 4-2 on additional live radio picks.  I missed Georgia who did not come to play like a team wanting to win the SEC East and Texas AM who apparently are tired of being chastized.  Good to see the Aggies spring back at home.  Baylor was a let down as they were getting 9 points and could not keep it close.

The big news was the injury to Marcus Lattimore.  Although I frown upon mom being allowed on to the field with her prayer team and laying hands upon the star RB, I hope it helped.  Lattimore is a star and losing him is a loss for college football.

This week I won 89% of my picks and all 3 of my Playmakers:  Temple, Ball State and LSU.  If you recall I told you to take the money line on Ball State (+720) against Ohio as they were a 13 point dog.  If you made a simple $10 bet you would have made $72!!!!

If you were smart enough to listen to 1560 THE GAME's David Nuno and Robert Neagli show on Friday you would have had all these picks, in addition to Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Auburn and Arizona States- all covered.

For the Season:

Picking all games in the SEC and MAC:  71% winning 67 and losing only 27 of all posted games.

Picking only my PlayMakers:  I am winning 78% of the time 25-7.  This weeks picks were Temple, Ball State and LSU.  YES that included another upset pick.

Week 7 Picks VS the line

It seems like there are few games this week to choose in the SEC but the MAC has a full slate.  Although conference play is in full effect there are not a lot of common opponents to judge the teams  yet, so we still need to focus on the ole research.

Im only seeing three PlayMakers and I might be stretching that definition.  Again, if you want to see them you can either pony up the $10 or listen to my call into Nuno and Neagli Show on 1560 THEGAME, if they want me to call in again- sometimes I can be a little risky on live radio #F-Bombs : )

Again, my picks are in bold.  Keep an eye on the weather as that may affect some of these games due to a dependence on passing.

Toledo -7 @ Bowling Green
Buffalo @ Temple -21
Eastern Michigan +13 @ Central Michigan
Miami Ohio -3.5 @ Kent State
Western Michigan @ N Ill +1.5 (watch this one if on TV in your area
Ball State +14.5 @ Ohio (try the money line here, if you dare)

LSU -17 @ TN
Alabama -26 @ Ole Miss (last 5 years the avg point diff 6 pts)
Georgia -11 @ Vandy

Strange to pick 3 road favorites in the SEC but this week is fairly unbalanced anyway.

Stephen Garcia- he got kicked off the team today.  The news is probably equally good for Garcia and the team.  Garcia was once one of the best QB prospects in the country and he picked Carolina to be tutored by the QB coach.  Looks like it was really Garcia's dad that picked Carolina for him and he could never handle the pressure.  Whatever benefits he has blown by losing his status on the team is far less that the weight of those demons in his head.  Seriously, no rational person gives up what he has been giving up without some serious mental issues.  Hopefully he can straighten out and live a normal life- whatever normal is.

For South Carolina, they can turn the keys over to a lesser athlete but he is complete- body and spirit.  Not to mention he is not too bad of a player.  The QB move really improves the team and they will be much better because of it.

Week 6 Line Results

As noted this was going to be a tougher week.  The MAC hurt the most as I personally put my blood on the line in more games than I should have.  Yes, even I go off the plan sometimes...  alot of times... but if I only listened to my own advice.

It was still a winning week. I added the OU/UT game since I picked it on air, it only seems fair (this blog was already published at that time).  This week I went 7-6 for ALL games, but won 4 (OU, Florida, Temple and N. Ill) and lost only one - Auburn.

S. Carolina showed that when they have a non-headcase QB they can actually score.  My bad for not changing my pick after that news.  In other heart breaker news...  how does a season favorite (Ohio) lose to Buffalo? not sure, but it hurt me, it hurt a lot.

Otherwise:

Week stats:  Overall won 54% 7-6;  PlayMakers:  80% 4-1

Season:  Overall, picking every game on the sheet 69% 59-26;  PlayMakers:  76% 22-7

I hope you stuck with the PlayMakers...

Week 6 Picks VS Spread

This is an interesting week, as we are in full Conference play  but there just a few SEC and MAC games that are ‘must see’ or relatively meaningful.  This does not mean that there are not deals to be had; currently I have four games slated for your PlayMakers.

I will be on the David Nuno and Robert Naegli show on KGOW 1560 The Game to cover these.  Only 1560 listeners will get a free PlayMaker.

My Picks are in bold; the fact that I scratch a note or two does not mean that I am backing that team or that I’m hinting it’s a PlayMaker.

Kentucky +21 @ S Carolina (Carolina can’t put their foot on the throat of a victim, yet)

Florida @ LSU -14

Vandy @ Alabama -29

Auburn +10 @ Arkansas (look at the under)

Georgia -2 @ Tennessee

Army @ Miami Ohio +3

Bowling Green +10 @ W Michigan

Temple -9 @ Ball State

E Michigan +21 @ Toledo (take Toledo and money line if you can)

C Michigan +11 @ NC State (find an under)

Ohio -8 @ Buffalo

Kent St @ N Ill -17

Remember I don’t guarantee anything except my past record of winning.

Week 5 Pick Results

WOW, this was a tough week to pick as inter-conference play was full in effect and there were many games which the contestants had not been truly tested.  With that said, I posted a warning for this week, hopefully you did not heed it and bet it up anyway- I did.

This week I went 14 and 2 for a teeth rattling 88% success rate.  Although I only had 3 PLAYMAKERS they all won.

For the Season:


Out of all SEC and MAC Conference games with a posted spread...  ...72%  I have 52 Wins and 20 losses.


Out of my PLAYMAKERS...   ...75% I have 18 wins and 6 losses  This week I picked Toledo, Auburn and Arkansas (live on David Nuno and Robert Neagli's show on 1560 the game)


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