Week 7 Picks VS the line

It seems like there are few games this week to choose in the SEC but the MAC has a full slate.  Although conference play is in full effect there are not a lot of common opponents to judge the teams  yet, so we still need to focus on the ole research.

Im only seeing three PlayMakers and I might be stretching that definition.  Again, if you want to see them you can either pony up the $10 or listen to my call into Nuno and Neagli Show on 1560 THEGAME, if they want me to call in again- sometimes I can be a little risky on live radio #F-Bombs : )

Again, my picks are in bold.  Keep an eye on the weather as that may affect some of these games due to a dependence on passing.

Toledo -7 @ Bowling Green
Buffalo @ Temple -21
Eastern Michigan +13 @ Central Michigan
Miami Ohio -3.5 @ Kent State
Western Michigan @ N Ill +1.5 (watch this one if on TV in your area
Ball State +14.5 @ Ohio (try the money line here, if you dare)

LSU -17 @ TN
Alabama -26 @ Ole Miss (last 5 years the avg point diff 6 pts)
Georgia -11 @ Vandy

Strange to pick 3 road favorites in the SEC but this week is fairly unbalanced anyway.

Stephen Garcia- he got kicked off the team today.  The news is probably equally good for Garcia and the team.  Garcia was once one of the best QB prospects in the country and he picked Carolina to be tutored by the QB coach.  Looks like it was really Garcia's dad that picked Carolina for him and he could never handle the pressure.  Whatever benefits he has blown by losing his status on the team is far less that the weight of those demons in his head.  Seriously, no rational person gives up what he has been giving up without some serious mental issues.  Hopefully he can straighten out and live a normal life- whatever normal is.

For South Carolina, they can turn the keys over to a lesser athlete but he is complete- body and spirit.  Not to mention he is not too bad of a player.  The QB move really improves the team and they will be much better because of it.

Week 6 Line Results

As noted this was going to be a tougher week.  The MAC hurt the most as I personally put my blood on the line in more games than I should have.  Yes, even I go off the plan sometimes...  alot of times... but if I only listened to my own advice.

It was still a winning week. I added the OU/UT game since I picked it on air, it only seems fair (this blog was already published at that time).  This week I went 7-6 for ALL games, but won 4 (OU, Florida, Temple and N. Ill) and lost only one - Auburn.

S. Carolina showed that when they have a non-headcase QB they can actually score.  My bad for not changing my pick after that news.  In other heart breaker news...  how does a season favorite (Ohio) lose to Buffalo? not sure, but it hurt me, it hurt a lot.

Otherwise:

Week stats:  Overall won 54% 7-6;  PlayMakers:  80% 4-1

Season:  Overall, picking every game on the sheet 69% 59-26;  PlayMakers:  76% 22-7

I hope you stuck with the PlayMakers...

Week 6 Picks VS Spread

This is an interesting week, as we are in full Conference play  but there just a few SEC and MAC games that are ‘must see’ or relatively meaningful.  This does not mean that there are not deals to be had; currently I have four games slated for your PlayMakers.

I will be on the David Nuno and Robert Naegli show on KGOW 1560 The Game to cover these.  Only 1560 listeners will get a free PlayMaker.

My Picks are in bold; the fact that I scratch a note or two does not mean that I am backing that team or that I’m hinting it’s a PlayMaker.

Kentucky +21 @ S Carolina (Carolina can’t put their foot on the throat of a victim, yet)

Florida @ LSU -14

Vandy @ Alabama -29

Auburn +10 @ Arkansas (look at the under)

Georgia -2 @ Tennessee

Army @ Miami Ohio +3

Bowling Green +10 @ W Michigan

Temple -9 @ Ball State

E Michigan +21 @ Toledo (take Toledo and money line if you can)

C Michigan +11 @ NC State (find an under)

Ohio -8 @ Buffalo

Kent St @ N Ill -17

Remember I don’t guarantee anything except my past record of winning.

Week 5 Pick Results

WOW, this was a tough week to pick as inter-conference play was full in effect and there were many games which the contestants had not been truly tested.  With that said, I posted a warning for this week, hopefully you did not heed it and bet it up anyway- I did.

This week I went 14 and 2 for a teeth rattling 88% success rate.  Although I only had 3 PLAYMAKERS they all won.

For the Season:


Out of all SEC and MAC Conference games with a posted spread...  ...72%  I have 52 Wins and 20 losses.


Out of my PLAYMAKERS...   ...75% I have 18 wins and 6 losses  This week I picked Toledo, Auburn and Arkansas (live on David Nuno and Robert Neagli's show on 1560 the game)


If your reading this, please post a comment or subscribe so that I know your winning.

Week 5 Picks VS the LINE

Last week was a great week for the players- the bookmakers may have been knocked down but they just popped up and are ready to brawl.  (they don’t like missing)

Although, I provided an exclusive pick on the Nuno and Neagli show 1560 The Game 10-Noon, I don’t know if I can include it in my PlayMakers this week.  I make my plays based on the best picks of the week.  I pride myself on not forcing action for action sakes because a $5 loss is the same as a $500 loss to me.  But since I called Arkansas on the radio I have to stay with it- Book Arkansas!! 

If you have to play this week stay away from the parlays and look for some key o/u games like:  Kent St and Ohio (OVER), Toledo and Temple (UNDER).  Keep in mind weather conditions change and affect these, so lay off until game day.

Although I lay action on all my PlayMakers (Yes, I have a dog in that fight, I have skin on the line) I do not play all the following, I just pick them for your entertainment.

My pick is in BOLD

Toledo +8 @ Temple

Buffalo @ Tennessee -28

Akron @ Eastern Michigan -8

Cincinnati -14 @ Miami Ohio

Kent St +15 @ Ohio (look at the game result history here)

Western Michigan +3 @ Connecticut

N Illinois @ Central Michigan +9

Ball St +38 @ Oklahoma

Miss St @ Georgia -7 (although UGA always plays down, they have something to prove here)

Texas AM @ Arkansas +3 (home dog???)

Buffalo @ Tennessee -28

Auburn +10 @ S. Carolina (QB is a mess)

Alabama -4 @ Florida (smell a o/u??)

Ole Miss @ Fresno St. -3.5

Again, it’s a tough one, many games off the board.  I  only have 3 PlayMakers this week… 

Want to know what my PlayMakers are?  Read below and send me my damn $10.

Week 4 Pick Results

Seriously, I have two followers on this blog and everyone else is giving away money.  If I did not have technical issues yesterday morning I would have retired, because the only game I lost was Toledo and that was by one point.  Every parlay I made came back and did not get posted...   ... I forgot to hit 'confirm bet' button. DAMN!!!

Unfortunately, in the afternoon, I went off my sheet and got desperate to get the money that I should have won back, but I lost those two games.  Luckily I went hard on LSU to cover -6 and the LSU Over +31 that got me back in the black.

So here are the numbers:


This Week Total:  11 wins and 2 loses 85% winners


This Weeks PLAYMAKERS:  4 wins and 1 loss 80%  I took:  Toledo (loss) and won Michigan St, Temple, Florida and LSU.  Note:  LSU was a late add after the blog was posted.




For the Season, I have picked 68% correct (38 wins and 18 losses) out of all MAC and SEC games and my PLAYMAKERS have been 71% correct (15 wins and 6 losses)

Week 4 Picks VS the LINE

There are 14 games with spreads this week but only 4 PLAYMAKERS so watch your butt...

Again, team and line in bold are my picks.  If you dont understand that then you might want to keep your money in your wallet.

Toledo +2 @ Syracuse  (ACC LMFAO, you cant win in the Big East)
E Michigan +29 @ Penn State
C Michigan @ Michigan State -22
Temple +9 @ Maryland
Bowling Green +4 @ Miami Ohio
Army @ Ball St +4
W Michigan +14 @ Illinois

Georgia -10 @ Ole Miss
Arkansas +11 @ Alabama
Florida -20 @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt @ S. Carolina -15
La Tech +20 @ Miss St
LSU -6 @ W VA

Week 3 Pick Line Results

As stated prior to my picks, this week was not looking good for players.  The bookmakers did an excellent job with many games within a point or two of actual.  If I could have spread out just 6 points I would have been 65% accurate this week, but as Vegas Vic always says... IF, BUT, Whaaaaaaaaaa

OK this week I was 47% on all SEC and MAC games, very disappointing.  SEC teams did not cover against the non-conference teams which shows that they definitely play down out of conference.

For my Play Makers...   lousy 50%, why?  Although Auburn is better than expected Clemson is the real deal.  South Carolina played like Stephen Garcia after a frat party.   LSU kept their foot on the gas, looking to be an SEC West Contender and Wyoming did as expected and beat Bowling Green straight up.   Just FYI, the Cowboys look like a great underdog pick against the spread this year-keep an eye on them.

I played harder on the parlays this week by mixing up only my PLAYMAKERS, that saved me.

SEASON STATS:


Against All Games W a Posted Spread:  65%


Agaist the PLAYMAKERS:  69%

Week 3 Picks VS the line

My pick to cover in BOLD.  Tough picks this week as I only have 4 Playmakers---  Good Luck.
My file download was corrupted earlier in the week, I hope I have it fixed now.

Buffalo VS Ball State -5
Cincy -33 @ Akron (avoid this game)
Wisconsin @ N. Illinois +18
Miami Ohio +5 @ Minnesota
Tennessee @ Florida -9.5 (change from original)
Navy @ S. Carolina -15
Wyoming +9.5 @ Bowling Green
E Michigan @ Michigan -29
Penn St -7 @ Temple
C Michigan @ W Michigan -8
Mississippi -3 @ Vandy
Louisville +6 @ KU
LSU -4 Miss St
Toledo @ Boise -21
Marshall @ Ohio -5
Auburn +3 @ Clemson (too good to be true?)
Kent State +18 @ Kansas State
N Texas +47 @ Alabama
Troy @ Arkansas -23

Week 2 Line Results

This week I picked 8 out of 10 games right.  I count Georgia right because in the gambling game, a tie is NOT losing.  Out of my special 'Play Makers', which none of you subscribe I went 5/6, thats right... documented 5 wins and 1 loss.  Sucka!!!

This weeks 'Play Makers':  Kentucky, Toledo (damn right), Temple, Tennesse, Arkansas  the only loser was Mississippi State, I guess I bought into the hype...

For the season

Pick'em (I have to pick these, if there is a spread posted I pick'em) :  18 wins and 6 loses  75%

The Play Maker:  9 wins and 3 loss 75%

Its all right here, documented!!!!  Tony the Hatchet (chop chop) can not give you that.

Week 2 Sept 10 NCAA FOOTBALL Picks for Southeastern Conference and Mid-American Conference

Last week was pretty good and we all made some $$, lets see if this week can double our bank roll.  Again, I pick all games in the SEC and MAC that have a spread listed.  To see the ‘Big Play’, my best bets you have to give me that $10. 

I am picking the team in bold

C. Michigan @ Kentucky -10.5 (picking UK)

Toledo + 18.5 @ OSU (pick Toledo, get it?)

Miss St -6 @ Auburn

Cincy @ Tenn -4.5

Alabama -10.5 @ Penn State (the under is dropping fast)

South Carolina @ Georgia +3

Temple -15 @ Akron

Northern Ill -5 @ Kansas

Arkansas -36 @ New Mexico

UConn @ Vandy -2

There are some real opportunities this week.

NCAA Line Results plus the Play Maker

Current posted win % for all games:  71%

Picked 14- games won 10 lost 4

Current Play Maker win %:  67%

Picked 6- games won 4, lost 2
Won:  Miss St, Ohio St, Buffalo and E. Carolina
Lost:  Kent and Auburn